Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie
2.5% (24h)PoliticsOne-OffEntertainmentElection2mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityCarey Mulligan – “Beef” 44%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
68 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$716
Liquidity
$16.6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
37.0% / 39.0%
Spread
5.4%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Jul 10, 26, 4:54 PMSep 14, 26, 8:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Carey Mulligan – “Beef”44%
Volume trend
$716Jul 104d of dataJul 13
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The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026.
- The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
- This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for "Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie".
- If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.