PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability0.2% 34%Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
83 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$19.8
Liquidity
$28.8K
High liquidityBid / Ask
24.4% / 24.6%
Spread
0.8%
Tight spread7d Change
-1.7%
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Jul 5, 26, 7:54 PMAug 12, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
0.2%34%
Compare venues· 0.2%
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Kalshi
July 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core
1.0%17d
20%
14%
13%
+12 more outcomes
56 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$71.6K
24h Vol$11
KALSHIAlso available on Kalshi
CPI core month-over-month in Jul 2026?
17d
19%
17%
8%
+5 more outcomes
44 • Low qualitySpread unknownMedium liquidity
Total Vol$18.7K
24h Vol$0
KALSHIRules
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in July 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
- The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$20Jul 620d of dataJul 26
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This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in July 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
- The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.