Current implied probability
Grüne 76.2%+1.5pt
Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$191
Low liquidityBid / Ask
62.0% / 91.0%
Spread
29.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
7d Change
+16.5 pts
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Aug 20, 26, 6:18 PM UTCSep 20, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Grüne” if Grüne wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than SPD in the specified election.
- This market will resolve to “SPD” if SPD wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than Grüne in the specified election.
- This market will resolve 50-50 if both Grüne and SPD receive exactly the same number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
- This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by each specified party.
- Valid second votes will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned parties.
Open markets
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Berlin State Election: More Votes to Grüne or SPD??
- Polymarket prices Grüne at 76% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Berlin State Election: More Votes to Grüne or SPD? resolve?
- Berlin State Election: More Votes to Grüne or SPD? is scheduled to resolve on September 20, 2026.
- How is Berlin State Election: More Votes to Grüne or SPD? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.