Current implied probability
CDU 56%+12.0ptLeader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
79 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$13.1K
Liquidity
$152.9K
High liquiditySpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
7d Change
+17.5 pts
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Jul 8, 26, 1:12 AM UTCSep 20, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
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PolymarketWhich party will win the 2026 Berlin state election?
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KalshiRules
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
- If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election.
- If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher.
- If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+2.0pt76%
- New People (NL)-1.9pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)2%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $31.3M
- 24h Vol
- $1.1M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.7%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $219.7M
- 24h Vol
- $802.3K
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+3.0pt88.1%
- Republican Party-2.0pt11.9%
- Total Vol
- $31.9M
- 24h Vol
- $720.1K
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Gavin Newsom-0.2pt16%
- Jon Ossoff+0.3pt16%
+48 more outcomes
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027+1.0pt14%
- December-1.0pt5%
- July0%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+5.0pt56.9%
- D-House, R-Senate31.4%
- Republicans sweep-3.0pt10.8%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Texas Senate winner?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Florida Governor winner?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Nebraska Senate winner?
- Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Berlin State Election: 2nd Place?
- Polymarket prices CDU at 56% as of September 17, 2026.
- When does Berlin State Election: 2nd Place resolve?
- Berlin State Election: 2nd Place is scheduled to resolve on September 20, 2026.
- How is Berlin State Election: 2nd Place settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- Where else is Berlin State Election: 2nd Place listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi.