PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 4, 2026, 8:51 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
June 30, · —
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Stored reference
June 30, 39%
June 30, 39%Market quality
51 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$176
Liquidity
$11.7K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$567
Bid / Ask
— / —
June 30,Spread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingNov 2, 26, 8:59 PM UTCJul 1, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · June 30,
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
JD Vance announces a presidential run by which date?
PolymarketMarco Rubio announces a presidential run by which date?
PolymarketJon Ossoff announces a presidential run by which date?
PolymarketWill Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run?
KalshiWho will announce Presidential run before 2027?
PolymarketWho will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes)
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement by Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
- A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous.
- Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
