Current implied probability
Karol Nawrocki 100%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownTraders
1,777
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleMay 28, 25, 10:21 AMJun 1, 25, 5:00 AM
Trends
100%
0%
0%
Rules
Poland is set for a closely watched presidential runoff on June 1, with the named outcome and the named outcome emerging as the main contenders after a tight first round.
- Who will be officially named the winner of Poland’s 2025 Presidential Election?
- The market will resolve based solely on the first official announcement of the winner by the Polish National Electoral Commission (Państwowa Komisja Wyborcza, PKW).
- Only the PKW’s official declaration of the winner will be used to determine the outcome, regardless of any subsequent recounts, legal challenges, or media reports.
- **Market Dates**
- - Market closing: June 1, 2025, at 7:00 am CET, before the official results are expected to be announced. - Resolution time: The market will resolve once the PKW makes its first official announcement of the winner.
Open markets
Politics
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- Darline Graham, 3-6%+82.0pt85.3%
- Darline Graham, 6-9%-12.0pt0.9%
- Darline Graham, 9-12%-8.0pt0.9%
+15 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $3.1M
- 24h Vol
- $1.7M
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+7.5pt77%
- October 31+13.5pt60%
- September 30+11.0pt41%
+17 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt18.6%
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.6%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt12.8%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+4.0pt86%
- Yes-4.0pt14%
- Total Vol
- $11M
- 24h Vol
- $1M
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party85.2%
- Republican Party14.8%
- Total Vol
- $25.1M
- 24h Vol
- $555.5K
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt21%
- Jon Ossoff15%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+48 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who wins Poland’s Presidential Election??
- Myriad prices Karol Nawrocki at 100% as of August 25, 2026.
- When does Who wins Poland’s Presidential Election? resolve?
- Who wins Poland’s Presidential Election? is scheduled to resolve on June 1, 2025.
- How is Who wins Poland’s Presidential Election? settled?
- Myriad settles this market as follows: Poland is set for a closely watched presidential runoff on June 1, with the named outcome and the named outcome emerging as the main contenders after a tight first round.