What are the current odds for xAI (props)?

Manifold Markets prices Colossus supercluster hits 1.5GW by May 1, 2026 at 100% as of October 27, 2026.

When does xAI (props) resolve?

xAI (props) is scheduled to resolve on March 7, 2027.

How is xAI (props) settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Props tracking xAI's AI roadmap amid SpaceX acquisition and compute scaling.

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xAI (props)

Corporate Actions AIOne-OffSpace Tech4mo

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

Colossus supercluster hits 1.5GW by May 1, 2026 100%

Leader of 7 outcomes

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

7d Change

0.0 pts

Market data

Updated 3 hours ago

Stale

Mar 7, 26, 11:36 AM UTCMar 7, 27, 11:36 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Related Markets

Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

Will Anthropic have the largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

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Will SpaceXSI rename itself back to SpaceXAI by end of 2026?

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What will happen in 2026 related to AI?

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Will OpenAI AND xAI have an IPO in 2026?

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Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than SpaceX after both IPO?

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Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Polymarket

Rules

Props tracking xAI's AI roadmap amid SpaceX acquisition and compute scaling.

Committed to 1.2GW power plant for Colossus; Grok Imagine leads video arenas.
/add-option — suggest a new prop.
AI reviews and adds if unique and interesting.
/clarify-resolution — ask what an option means and how it resolves.
AI updates the text if ambiguous.

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xAI (props)

xAI (props)

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Frequently asked questions

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When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

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