KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Before Nov 2, 2026 (98%)
Resolved: Oct 29, 2026, 2:54 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Before Nov 2, 2026
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
56%
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 1:06 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Before Nov 16, 202686%
Before Jan 1, 202797%
Before Dec 1, 202691%
Before Nov 2, 202698%
Before Mar 1, 202796%
Before Nov 16, 2026Lost
Before Dec 1, 2026Lost
Before Jan 1, 2027Lost
Before Mar 1, 2027Lost
Before Nov 2, 2026Won
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If DoorDash announces an agreement to acquire Instacart (Maplebear) before Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Securities and Exchange CommissionCNBCThe GuardianBloombergThe Wall Street JournalFinancial TimesABC News AustraliaReutersthe New York TimesBBC
- The announcement must involve a definitive, binding agreement accompanied by public announcement. Letters of intent, memoranda of understanding, or agreements in principle do not qualify. The deal does not need to close as long as an agreement has been announced. Regulatory blocking or later cancellation does not affect resolution. Cross-border transactions qualify if a definitive agreement is announced. Internal reorganizations, joint ventures, or minority investments do not qualify unless they involve controlling ownership transfer. The acquisition can be structured as asset purchases, stock purchases, tender offers, SPAC combinations, or takeover agreements. Transactions involving subsidiaries qualify, but those limited solely to assets or divisions must represent the majority of operations or equity control. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Instacart. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Before Nov 16, 2026
- If DoorDash announces an agreement to acquire Instacart (Maplebear) before Nov 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Dec 1, 2026
- If DoorDash announces an agreement to acquire Instacart (Maplebear) before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If DoorDash announces an agreement to acquire Instacart (Maplebear) before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Mar 1, 2027
- If DoorDash announces an agreement to acquire Instacart (Maplebear) before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 2, 2026
- If DoorDash announces an agreement to acquire Instacart (Maplebear) before Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.