Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than SpaceX after both IPO?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than SpaceX after both IPO??

Manifold Markets prices No at 51.4% as of October 24, 2026.

When does Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than SpaceX after both IPO? resolve?

Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than SpaceX after both IPO? is scheduled to resolve on April 20, 2031.

How is Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than SpaceX after both IPO? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves based on closing market cap on the first trading day of whichever company IPOs second

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POLYMARKET

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

• Yashar+1.5pt71%
• Likud-2.0pt28%
• Together+0.1pt1%

+3 more outcomes

Total Vol

$2.1M

24h Vol

$338.2K

POLYMARKET

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by which date?

• 2029+1.0pt20%
• 202814%
• 2027+2.0pt9%

Total Vol

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+1.0pt28.9%
• $1.5–$1.75T-1.7pt18.3%
• $2.0–$2.25T-3.5pt18.3%

+7 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,-1.0pt78%
• December 15,74%
• November 30,+8.0pt65%

+9 more outcomes

Total Vol

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+2.0pt92.5%
• Before Mar 1, 202791.5%
• Before Feb 1, 2027-3.0pt88.5%

POLYMARKET

What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

• <$1T-0.5pt25.7%
• $1.5T–$1.75T-2.4pt18.8%
• $1.25T–$1.5T+5.4pt17.8%

+5 more outcomes

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