Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Donavan McKinney (State Rep since 2023) (84.7%)
Resolved: Aug 5, 2026, 5:17 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current community forecastDonavan McKinney (State Rep since 2023) 84.7%+5.2ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
17
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 days ago
StaleOct 7, 25, 1:45 AMAug 4, 26, 12:59 AM
Probability Timeline
Shri Thanedar (Incumbent U.S. Representative)14.7%
Donavan McKinney (State Rep since 2023)84.7%
Other0.6%
84.7%
14.7%
0.6%
Rules
Shri Thanedar is facing a primary challenge, by Donavan McKinney, and others.
- Donavan is endorsed by Bernie Sanders and Rashida Tlaib.
- Justice Democrats endorsed him also.
- David Hogg, endorsed him, and said, “Shri Thanedar is exactly the kind of out-of-touch, ineffective, and out-for-himself incumbent we want to kick out of office."
- Donavan is also endorsed by 2 former US Reps from Michigan, Andy Levin and Brenda Lawrence, and has the support of some State Rep colleagues.
- More Info on the primary here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Michigan#District_13
