Unverified resolution data: Zack Polanski stands in a by election for UK parliament
Resolved: Oct 9, 2026, 8:12 AM
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 9, 2026, 10:33 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Zack Polanski stands in a by election for UK parliament100%
Zack Polanski stands in a by election for UK Parliament AND wins0%
Awaiting result
Awaiting result
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Manifold MarketsRules
For the Polanski stands and wins, this resolves based on the first by election he contests.
- Any further ones don’t count.
- Resolves NO when the next general election occurs if Zack Polanski hasn’t stood for any by election.