KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Before Jul 1, 2027 · —
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Stored price
Before Jul 1, 2027 23%Leader of 3 outcomes
Before Jul 1, 2027 23%Market quality
45 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$15
Open interest
$2.4K
Low open interestBid / Ask
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Before Jul 1, 2027Spread
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Market data
Updated 30 minutes ago
Sep 2, 26, 11:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before Jul 1, 2027
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
If Zack Polanski is leader of the Green Party going into the next UK election, will the PM be Green?
Manifold MarketsIf Zack Polanski is not leader of the Green Party going into the next UK election, will the PM be Green?
Manifold MarketsWill Zack Polanski be leader of the Green Party after the next leadership election?
Manifold MarketsWill Polanski be leader of the Green Party going into the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsPierre Poilievre out as Conservative Party leader?
KalshiDoug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?
PolymarketRules
If the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales has resigned or otherwise left their specified position before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Green Party of England and Wales
- An announcement that the official will leave the office within the next year also resolves the market to Yes.
Rules for each outcome
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales has resigned or otherwise left their specified position before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales has resigned or otherwise left their specified position before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 1, 2026
- If the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales has resigned or otherwise left their specified position before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.