KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Sep 8, 2026, 4:30 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Before Jan 1, 2027 11%
Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$389.7
Low liquidityBid / Ask
2.0% / 9.0%
Spread
7.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Sep 2, 26, 11:00 PM UTCNov 1, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
If Zack Polanski is leader of the Green Party going into the next UK election, will the PM be Green?
Manifold MarketsWill Polanski be leader of the Green Party going into the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsWill Zack Polanski contest a seat in a Parliamentary By-Election before the next General Election?
Manifold MarketsPierre Poilievre out as Conservative Party leader?
KalshiDoug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?
PolymarketSwedish general election: Green Party vote percent
KalshiRules
If the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales has resigned or otherwise left their specified position the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Green Party of England and Wales
- An announcement that the official will leave the office within the next year also resolves the market to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $837.2K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213M
- 24h Vol
- $477.5K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for When will Zack Polanski leave as Green Party leader??
- Kalshi prices Before Jan 1, 2027 at 11% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does When will Zack Polanski leave as Green Party leader? resolve?
- When will Zack Polanski leave as Green Party leader? is scheduled to resolve on November 1, 2026.
- How is When will Zack Polanski leave as Green Party leader? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales has resigned or otherwise left their specified position the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is When will Zack Polanski leave as Green Party leader? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket.