This market resolved: Yes (99%)
Resolved: Oct 9, 2026, 8:37 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Yes
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 9, 2026, 10:33 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes99%
No1%
Won
Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
If Zack Polanski is leader of the Green Party going into the next UK election, will the PM be Green?
Manifold MarketsZack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by which date?
PolymarketWhen will Zack Polanski leave as Green Party leader?
KalshiVictoria parliamentary election: 3rd place?
KalshiHow many seats will be won by EKRE (Conservative People's Party of Estonia) in the next Estonian parliamentary election?
Manifold MarketsWho will be elected Prime Minister following the next Greek parliamentary election?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves YES if Polanski is a candidate on the ballot sheet for any by-election that occurs prior to the polling date of the first General Election following July 2024.