Current community forecast
Yes 82.8%
Forecasters
13
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleDec 2, 25, 8:57 AM UTCJul 3, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolves YES if Polanski is a candidate on the ballot sheet for any by-election that occurs prior to the polling date of the first General Election following July 2024.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Zack Polanski contest a seat in a Parliamentary By-Election before the next General Election??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 83% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Zack Polanski contest a seat in a Parliamentary By-Election before the next General Election? resolve?
- Will Zack Polanski contest a seat in a Parliamentary By-Election before the next General Election? is scheduled to resolve on July 3, 2029.
- How is Will Zack Polanski contest a seat in a Parliamentary By-Election before the next General Election? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if Polanski is a candidate on the ballot sheet for any by-election that occurs prior to the polling date of the first General Election following July 2024.