What are the current odds for Will Xi Jinping choose a successor in 2027??

Manifold Markets prices No at 78.7% as of October 28, 2026.

When does Will Xi Jinping choose a successor in 2027? resolve?

Will Xi Jinping choose a successor in 2027? is scheduled to resolve on November 1, 2027.

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Will Xi Jinping choose a successor in 2027?

PoliticsOne-OffElection China1y

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Current community forecast

No 78.7%

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binary

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Play-money forecasting platform

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Forecast

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Updated 10 hours ago

Stale

Nov 2, 23, 3:02 PM UTCNov 1, 27, 3:59 PM UTC

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After the election of the 21st Politburo Standing Committee of the CCP in 2027, will the consensus among Western China analysts be that Xi has chosen a successor?

Traditionally a successor would be chosen at the beginning of a General Secretary's second and final term, who would serve on the PSC.
Xi did not make such an 'appointment' in 2017 or 2022.
I will assess the consensus after the National Congress of the Party in 2027.
I will not bet in this market.

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Will Xi Jinping choose a successor in 2027?

Will Xi Jinping choose a successor in 2027?

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