Will William Trachman be confirmed by the Senate as Ambassador to Tanzania by end of August 2026?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElectionManifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (89.1%)
Resolved: Aug 14, 2026, 5:28 PM
Provider-verified resolution
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Current community forecastYes 89.1%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 days ago
StaleApr 22, 26, 11:49 PMAug 14, 26, 5:28 PM
Trends
89.1%
10.9%
Rules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the United States Senate confirms William Trachman as the U.S. Ambassador to Tanzania on or before August 31, 2026.
- It resolves to NO otherwise.
- The official record of the U.S. Senate’s executive business, available at senate.gov, will serve as the source of truth for this confirmation.
- William Trachman has been nominated by President Trump to serve as the U.S. Ambassador to the United Republic of Tanzania.
- The nomination process requires the nominee to be reported out of the Senate Committee on Foreign Relations and subsequently confirmed by a vote on the Senate floor.
