Will Trump serve until the end of his term in 2028?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Trump serve until the end of his term in 2028??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 77.9% as of October 25, 2026.

When does Will Trump serve until the end of his term in 2028? resolve?

Will Trump serve until the end of his term in 2028? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2028.

How is Will Trump serve until the end of his term in 2028? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Update 2026-02-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Trump's term ends on January 20, 2029 (not December 31, 2028 when the market closes).

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POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in October?

• No change94.1%
• 25 bps increase5.9%
• 25 bps decrease0%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$64.1M

24h Vol

$2.1M

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico+1.0pt64.5%
• Ken Paxton35.5%

Total Vol

$41.9M

24h Vol

$1.8M

KALSHI

Which party will win the U.S. House?

• Democratic Party-0.4pt90.3%
• Republican Party-0.2pt9.6%

Total Vol

$70.2M

24h Vol

$1.5M

POLYMARKET

US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

• October 22+0.3pt100%
• October 24+0.2pt99%
• October 28+3.0pt91%

+17 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

• Gadi Eizenkot+0.3pt55.2%
• Benjamin Netanyahu-1.0pt28.1%
• Naftali Bennett14.6%

+16 more outcomes

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep-2.0pt63.5%
• D-House, R-Senate25.5%
• Republicans sweep+0.4pt

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