Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (96.9%)
Resolved: Oct 15, 2026, 3:59 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 16, 2026, 2:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes3.1%
No96.9%
Won
Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Resolves YES if the general American public can obtain live footage of Nidal Malik Hasan being executed.
- I'll also resolve NO if Trump clearly states that he isn't going through with it.