Will Trump having serious health troubles during his second term be revealed before 2031?
One-OffUS PoliticsHealth & MedicinePolitics4yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 78.4%
Forecasters
88
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleJul 16, 25, 2:00 AM UTCJan 1, 31, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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This market proximally caused by renewed interest in this genre of social media post: https://x.com/John_Hudson/status/1945205897950560592 .
- Obviously if Trump is having health problems now it might take us a while to hear about it, like with Biden.
- Update 2025-07-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has specified an example of a health issue that would not qualify as a "serious health trouble" for the purpose of this market's resolution:
- Chronic Venous Insufficiency
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Trump having serious health troubles during his second term be revealed before 2031??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 78% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Trump having serious health troubles during his second term be revealed before 2031? resolve?
- Will Trump having serious health troubles during his second term be revealed before 2031? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2031.
- How is Will Trump having serious health troubles during his second term be revealed before 2031? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market proximally caused by renewed interest in this genre of social media post: https://x.com/John_Hudson/status/1945205897950560592 .