FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probability
No 94%
No 94%Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$425.7
Low liquidityTraders
6
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Plague declared public health emergency by which date?
PolymarketWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
KalshiWill WHO classify the current hantavirus outbreak as a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the WHO declare a Nipah Virus pandemic before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a new pandemic caused by a currently unknown virus be declared by the World Health Organization by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency of International Concern for H5N1 before 2030?
Manifold MarketsRules
Cases and outbreaks of the Nipah virus, a zoonotic disease with a high fatality rate, have been periodically reported in parts of South and Southeast Asia.
- Given concerns about its potential for severe outcomes and cross-border spread, there is ongoing attention to how the international health community may respond if the situation escalates.
- The World Health Organization (WHO) may declare a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) when facing an “extraordinary event that constitutes a public health risk to other countries through the international spread of disease and potentially requires a coordinated international response.”
- If, at any point through December 31, 2026, the WHO declares that the spread of the Nipah virus constitutes a Public Health Emergency of International Concern, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.