Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 92.5%
Forecasters
40
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Feb 27, 26, 10:48 PM UTCJan 21, 29, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
The market resolves YES if Trump awards himself the Medal of Honor while he is in office.
- The market resolves NO if he does not.
- If he stays president after the 20th of January, 2029, I will extend the question's length.
- In his first term, Trump recounted trying to give himself the medal after visiting Iraq but was talked out of it by his advisers.
- Trump has suggested changing the law so he can give himself the Congressional Medal of Honor.
- Edit: If he has someone else award him the medal, I would count that, too
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Trump give himself the Medal of Honor while in office??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 93% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will Trump give himself the Medal of Honor while in office? resolve?
- Will Trump give himself the Medal of Honor while in office? is scheduled to resolve on January 21, 2029.
- How is Will Trump give himself the Medal of Honor while in office? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The market resolves YES if Trump awards himself the Medal of Honor while he is in office.