Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 92%
Forecasters
15
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 44 minutes ago
Jan 14, 26, 2:42 AM UTCJan 20, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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FutuurRules
Tump has a habit of declaring things on social media that may or may not be true and may or may not happen.
- Before the end of his term, will he declare a state to not be part of the US.
- It has to be more forceful than just saying that the people in the state aren't even Americans.
- I won't bet on this market
