What are the current odds for Will Trump be impeached for a third (total) time during his second term??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 63% as of September 8, 2026.

Will Trump be impeached for a third (total) time during his second term?

One-OffUS Politics2y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

Yes 62.8%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 3 hours ago

Stale

Dec 5, 24, 3:12 PM UTCJan 22, 29, 4:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

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Number of times Donald Trump is impeached by House of Representatives during his second term

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Will Trump be impeached in his second term?

Futuur

Will President Trump be impeached during his term?

Kalshi

Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?

Kalshi

Rules

Resolves when the House passes articles of impeachment, or whenever Trump leaves office (presumably no later than the end of his second term).

Report a data issue with this market

Will Trump be impeached for a third (total) time during his second term?

One-OffUS Politics2y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

Yes 62.8%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 3 hours ago

Stale

Dec 5, 24, 3:12 PM UTCJan 22, 29, 4:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Related Markets

Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

Will Donald Trump be impeached during his second term?

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Will Donald Trump be impeached and removed during his second term?

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Number of times Donald Trump is impeached by House of Representatives during his second term

Manifold Markets

Will Trump be impeached in his second term?

Futuur

Will President Trump be impeached during his term?

Kalshi

Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?

Kalshi

Rules

Resolves when the House passes articles of impeachment, or whenever Trump leaves office (presumably no later than the end of his second term).

Report a data issue with this market

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Trump be impeached for a third (total) time during his second term??: Manifold Markets prices Yes at 63% as of September 8, 2026.
When does Will Trump be impeached for a third (total) time during his second term? resolve?: Will Trump be impeached for a third (total) time during his second term? is scheduled to resolve on January 22, 2029.
How is Will Trump be impeached for a third (total) time during his second term? settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves when the House passes articles of impeachment, or whenever Trump leaves office (presumably no later than the end of his second term).

Will Trump be impeached for a third (total) time during his second term?

Will Trump be impeached for a third (total) time during his second term?

Frequently asked questions

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