Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (89.2%)
Resolved: Oct 15, 2026, 4:00 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Yes
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 15, 2026, 8:12 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes89.2%
No10.799999999999997%
Won
Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Complaints about delivery vehicles in bike lanes?
Manifold MarketsDoug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?
PolymarketWill any municipality in Ontario get amalgamated before Doug Ford leaves office?
Manifold MarketsDoug Ford and PC Party win next Ontario election?
Manifold MarketsWill Toronto Bike Share cumulative usage set a new record in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRules
https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/bike-lane-removal-appeal-court-decision-9.7307310
- If any Toronto bike lanes are removed due to this ruling, this will resolve YES.
- Removal for unrelated reasons (construction, damage, etc) does not count.
- Reaching the resolution date with no bike lane removal will resolve NO.
- If Ford publicly calls off the removal (for example due to an agreement with the city), this will resolve NO early.
- This market resolves in 12 months from the court overturn announcement on Aug 14.