Will there be an earthquake of at least 5.5 Magnitude on Cinco de Mayo 2027? (May 5)
One-OffScience7moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 72.7%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleMay 5, 26, 10:33 PM UTCMay 5, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Info: https://earthquaketrack.com/recent
- Ends midnight Pacific time
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will there be an earthquake of at least 5.5 Magnitude on Cinco de Mayo 2027? (May 5)?
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 73% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will there be an earthquake of at least 5.5 Magnitude on Cinco de Mayo 2027? (May 5) resolve?
- Will there be an earthquake of at least 5.5 Magnitude on Cinco de Mayo 2027? (May 5) is scheduled to resolve on May 5, 2027.
- How is Will there be an earthquake of at least 5.5 Magnitude on Cinco de Mayo 2027? (May 5) settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Info: https://earthquaketrack.com/recent