Will the winner of the South Carolina Special Republican Primary for Senate recieve at least 50% of the vote?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElectionManifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (99%)
Resolved: Aug 12, 2026, 12:55 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current community forecastNo 99%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 days ago
StaleAug 11, 26, 11:09 PMAug 12, 26, 12:55 AM
Trends
99%
1%
Rules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if the candidate who finishes in first place (receives the highest number of votes) in the South Carolina Special Republican Primary for U.S. Senate held on August 11, 2026, receives 50.0% or more of the total votes cast.
- If the leading candidate receives less than 50.0% of the vote, this market will resolve to NO.
- Source of Truth: Official certified election results published by the South Carolina State Election Commission.
- If official certification is delayed, reputable media outlets (e.g., the Associated Press) may be used to resolve the market once a race call is made and final unofficial tallies are near 100% reporting.
