Will the US seize the Punta Cardón oil refinery in 2026?
US PoliticsCommoditiesOne-OffLatin America2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 79.5%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJan 3, 26, 8:06 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:00 AM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve YES if, at any time before the close date, the United States of America militarily seizes the Cardón Refinery in Punta Cardón, Venezuela.
- This market will otherwise resolve NO at the close date.
- This market is set to close at 04:00:00 UTC on 1 January 2027.
- Clarifications
- I will not trade in this market.