Will the Supreme Court overturn any of Griswold, Lawrence, or Obergefell by 2040?
US PoliticsOne-Off13yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 90%
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53
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Updated 9 hours ago
StaleJun 29, 22, 6:51 PM UTCJan 1, 40, 7:59 AM UTC
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KalshiRules
> In future cases, we should reconsider all of this Court’s substantive due process precedents, including Griswold, Lawrence, and Obergefell.
- Because any substantive due process decision is “demonstrably erroneous,” we have a duty to “correct the error” established in those precedents. ~ Clarence Thomas
- This question will resolve to yes if the Supreme court overturns any of the aforementioned rulings.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the Supreme Court overturn any of Griswold, Lawrence, or Obergefell by 2040??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 90% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will the Supreme Court overturn any of Griswold, Lawrence, or Obergefell by 2040? resolve?
- Will the Supreme Court overturn any of Griswold, Lawrence, or Obergefell by 2040? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2040.
- How is Will the Supreme Court overturn any of Griswold, Lawrence, or Obergefell by 2040? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: > In future cases, we should reconsider all of this Court’s substantive due process precedents, including Griswold, Lawrence, and Obergefell.