Will the International Criminal Court be dissolved during 2026?
InflationOne-OffGeopoliticsLatin America3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 95%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleAug 19, 26, 2:08 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, on or before December 31, 2026, the International Criminal Court (ICC) is officially dissolved, the Rome Statute is formally terminated, or the court permanently ceases all of its judicial and administrative operations.
- Such an outcome must be confirmed by an official announcement from:
- The International Criminal Court (https://www.icc-cpi.int/)
- The Assembly of States Parties to the Rome Statute
- The United Nations (https://www.un.org/)
Open markets
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt46%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $104.8M
- 24h Vol
- $1.8M
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $417K
- 24h Vol
- $41.6K
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $637.5K
- 24h Vol
- $33.5K
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+3.0pt54.2%
- September Meeting+2.0pt45.8%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 more outcomes
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $92.7K
- 24h Vol
- $8.9K
POLYMARKETCore CPI MoM - August 2026
- 0.2%-1.0pt51.9%
- 0.3%+4.5pt34.6%
- 0.1%-3.0pt9.6%
+4 more outcomes
- CPI core in August
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- CPI in September
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Annual
- CPI-U index in August
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the International Criminal Court be dissolved during 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 95% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will the International Criminal Court be dissolved during 2026? resolve?
- Will the International Criminal Court be dissolved during 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will the International Criminal Court be dissolved during 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria