Will the Fed cut its target rate at the October 27-28, 2026 FOMC meeting?

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Frequently asked questions

When does Will the Fed cut its target rate at the October 27-28, 2026 FOMC meeting? resolve?

Will the Fed cut its target rate at the October 27-28, 2026 FOMC meeting? is scheduled to resolve on October 28, 2026.

How is Will the Fed cut its target rate at the October 27-28, 2026 FOMC meeting? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if the FOMC statement released on Wednesday, October 28, 2026 announces a lower target range for the federal funds rate than the current one.

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POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in December?

• 25 bps increase-5.0pt76.2%
• No change+6.0pt21.8%
• 50+ bps increase-0.4pt2%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$8.1M

24h Vol

$1.8M

KALSHI

Fed decision in Dec 2026?

• Hike 25bps-5.0pt75.5%
• Fed maintains rate+5.0pt22.5%
• Hike >25bps-1.0pt

KALSHI

Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?

• Above 3.50%+1.0pt99.5%
• Above 3.00%99.5%
• Above 3.25%99.5%

ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)

Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)

• H 25+6.0pt70.4%
• H 0-3.0pt20%
• H 26+1.0pt5.2%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

POLYMARKET

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

• 0 (0 bps)+0.8pt99%
• 1 (25 bps)-0.7pt1%
• 10 (250 bps)0%

+10 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

• Yes-4.0pt77%
• No+4.0pt23%

Total Vol

$1.2M

24h Vol

$98.1K

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