Will the "core" Jewish population of the USA be greater than that of Israel by 2030
Middle EastOne-Off4y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 84.8%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 19 hours ago
StaleMar 4, 23, 11:19 AM UTCDec 31, 30, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the "core" Jewish population of the UK be greater than that of Canada by 2030?
Manifold Markets🇮🇱 Will 'Greater Israel' successfully include all the territories of Gaza and West Bank by 2030? 🇮🇱
Manifold MarketsThe winner of the 2028 election will be whoever the Jewish population supports.
Manifold MarketsWill the Jewish population of the world be greater in 2030 than in 2020?
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRules
Judged according to https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jewish_population_by_country
- I'll go with the numbers in the table, assuming an equivalent still exists in 2030.
- I will ignore any section on "Debate over United States numbers" and just look at the bottom line (i.e. the table, assuming it exists).