Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 94%
Forecasters
31
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleSep 23, 23, 1:40 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Cape independence is the political movement to make the Western Cape province, and often other regions of the Eastern and Northern Cape provinces, an independent state from the rest of South Africa.
- This market will resolve affirmatively if a political party, group, or referendum representing a plurality of the residents of the Cape (or any substantial subset of territory therein, such as Cape Town) declare their independence from South Africa before the beginning of 2030.
