Current community forecast
No 73.6%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleOct 5, 25, 2:29 AM UTCDec 30, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- Resolves YES if Takaichi Sanae, while serving as Prime Minister of Japan, makes an in-person visit to Yasukuni Shrine (Chiyoda, Tokyo) on any date during her premiership.
- Verification may come from the Prime Minister’s Office (Kantei) site/schedule or clear reports by at least two major outlets (e.g., NHK, Kyodo, Reuters, Asahi, Yomiuri, Japan Times).
- (japan.kantei.go.jp)
- Sending a ritual offering (tamagushi/masakaki), a proxy visit by an aide, or visits immediately before/after her term do NOT count.
- A “private capacity” visit counts only if later confirmed by Kantei or two major outlets with on-the-record reporting or photos.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Takaichi Sanae visit the Yasukuni Shrine while she is Prime Minister??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 74% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Takaichi Sanae visit the Yasukuni Shrine while she is Prime Minister? resolve?
- Will Takaichi Sanae visit the Yasukuni Shrine while she is Prime Minister? is scheduled to resolve on December 30, 2027.
- How is Will Takaichi Sanae visit the Yasukuni Shrine while she is Prime Minister? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria