Current community forecast
No 75.8%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleOct 5, 25, 2:29 AM UTCDec 30, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Resolution criteria
- Resolves YES if Takaichi Sanae, while serving as Prime Minister of Japan, makes an in-person visit to Yasukuni Shrine (Chiyoda, Tokyo) on any date during her premiership.
- Verification may come from the Prime Minister’s Office (Kantei) site/schedule or clear reports by at least two major outlets (e.g., NHK, Kyodo, Reuters, Asahi, Yomiuri, Japan Times).
- (japan.kantei.go.jp)
- Sending a ritual offering (tamagushi/masakaki), a proxy visit by an aide, or visits immediately before/after her term do NOT count.
- A “private capacity” visit counts only if later confirmed by Kantei or two major outlets with on-the-record reporting or photos.