Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Not in or backing the government 82.8%Leader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
10
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jan 23, 25, 3:20 PM UTCSep 13, 26, 9:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
The right-wing populist party Sweden Democrats received 20.2% of the votes in the last election, and backs the Kristersson cabinet, but does not have any minister positions.
- Will they have any positions in the first government officially formed after the next election? Or will they just back the government?
- If the Sweden Democrats do not have a member in the Riksdag, this resolves to "the named outcome".
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Sweden Democrats back or be in government after next election??
- Manifold Markets prices Not in or backing the government at 83% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Sweden Democrats back or be in government after next election? resolve?
- Will Sweden Democrats back or be in government after next election? is scheduled to resolve on September 13, 2026.
- How is Will Sweden Democrats back or be in government after next election? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The right-wing populist party Sweden Democrats received 20.2% of the votes in the last election, and backs the Kristersson cabinet, but does not have any minister positions.