Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 78%
Forecasters
27
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 48 minutes ago
LaggingMar 29, 24, 11:46 AM UTCDec 6, 40, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the Sagrada Familia be fully finished before SBF is released from prison
Manifold MarketsWill SBF be released from prison before AGI is achieved
Manifold MarketsWill Marwan Barghouti be released from prison before the end of his life?
Manifold MarketsWill Truth Social still be operating 3 years after Trump dies?
Manifold MarketsSBF released from custody in 2026?
PolymarketImran Khan released from prison by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
