Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 61.5%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleJan 8, 24, 9:01 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
According to Wikipedia:
- In August 2019, a royal decree was published in the Saudi official gazette Um al-Qura that would allow Saudi women over 21 to obtain passports and travel abroad without male guardian permission.
- The decree also gave women the rights to register a marriage, divorce or birth or obtain official family documents; and gave the mother the right to be a legal guardian of a child.
- The date of the measures officially come into force was not stated in the decree.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Saudi_anti_male-guardianship_campaign#Moves_toward_equality
- And Human Rights Watch (March 2023):
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Saudi Arabia end male guardianship over adult women by 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 62% as of September 19, 2026.
- When does Will Saudi Arabia end male guardianship over adult women by 2030? resolve?
- Will Saudi Arabia end male guardianship over adult women by 2030? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.
- How is Will Saudi Arabia end male guardianship over adult women by 2030? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: According to Wikipedia: