Will Sam Altman be convicted of a felony by 2027?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Sam Altman be convicted of a felony by 2027??

Manifold Markets prices No at 93.6% as of October 6, 2026.

When does Will Sam Altman be convicted of a felony by 2027? resolve?

Will Sam Altman be convicted of a felony by 2027? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2027.

How is Will Sam Altman be convicted of a felony by 2027? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: If reputable sources (ideally the court website itself) reports that a court in UN member state has convicted Sam Altman of a felony before midnight on Jan 1 2027, then this resolves YES.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

POLYMARKET

Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?

• No70.3%
• Yes29.7%

Total Vol

$424.7K

24h Vol

$11.9K

POLYMARKET

Trump out as President before 2027?

• No+0.1pt96%
• Yes-0.1pt4%

Total Vol

$12.4M

24h Vol

$8K

POLYMARKET

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

• Yes+1.5pt83%
• No-1.5pt17%

Total Vol

$815.6K

24h Vol

$5.8K

POLYMARKET

Who will be arrested before 2027?

• John Brennan24%
• Mahmoud Khalil+0.5pt19%
• Brandon Johnson10%

+21 more outcomes

Total Vol

KALSHI

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

• John Brennan+1.0pt28%
• Anthony Fauci-2.0pt25%
• James Clapper19%

+39 more outcomes

Total Vol

$1.7M

KALSHI

Who will be arrested in 2026?

• John Brennan+2.0pt28%
• Mahmoud Khalil20%
• Anthony Fauci-1.0pt10%

+21 more outcomes

Total Vol

$1.3M

• Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?
• Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
• Yoon out of custody before 2027?
• Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
• Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
• Iran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
• Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
• Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?
• Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
• Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?