Will Robin Hanson adopt a religion by mid 2038

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Robin Hanson adopt a religion by mid 2038?

Manifold Markets prices No at 81.6% as of October 19, 2026.

When does Will Robin Hanson adopt a religion by mid 2038 resolve?

Will Robin Hanson adopt a religion by mid 2038 is scheduled to resolve on July 1, 2038.

How is Will Robin Hanson adopt a religion by mid 2038 settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: He must publicly state something like "I am a X" where X is the name of a religious or mystical group.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

POLYMARKET

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by which date?

• 202924%
• 2028-1.0pt18%
• 202710%

Total Vol

$2.1M

24h Vol

$224.4K

KALSHI

OpenAI market share this week

• Above 18.4%+60.0pt99.5%
• Above 18.1%+2.0pt99.5%
• Above 17.1%99.5%

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+4.0pt76%
• December 15,+7.0pt74%
• November 30,+8.0pt64%

+7 more outcomes

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+1.9pt47.8%
• Gemini+1.2pt37.9%
• ChatGPT+0.8pt

KALSHI

DeepSeek market share this week

• Above 24.1%+15.0pt99.5%
• Above 21.7%99.5%
• Above 23.2%99.5%

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google-2.0pt72.7%
• Anthropic26.3%
• OpenAI+0.2pt1%

+18 more outcomes

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• Best AI this week
• When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
• Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?