Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 57.3%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleMar 26, 24, 6:28 PM UTCJan 1, 50, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Gary Marcus still say that deep learning models can't reason after they prove the Riemann hypothesis?
Manifold MarketsWill the first valid proofs of the Collatz Conjecture and the Riemann Hypothesis occur within 12 months of one another?
Manifold MarketsFurther substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by which date?
PolymarketWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
KalshiOpenAI discovers the first proof of the Riemann Hypothesis before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by which date?
PolymarketRules
If it is shown to be independent of ZFC, the question resolves N/A. If ZFC is shown to be self-contradictory (so any theorem is true), the question resolves N/A.
Open markets
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+19.0pt94%
- Before 2030+6.0pt82%
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+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $256.6K
- 24h Vol
- $140.5K
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 more outcomes
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
- Before 2028-1.0pt12%
- Before 2027+0.1pt5%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $33.3M
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2030+71.0pt92%
- Before 2032+44.0pt92%
- Before 2028+44.0pt59%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Total Vol
- $1.9M
- 24h Vol
- $6K
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 more outcomes
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- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- Major volcano eruption in 2026?
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- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Riemann hypothesis be proven or refuted before 2050??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 57% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Riemann hypothesis be proven or refuted before 2050? resolve?
- Will Riemann hypothesis be proven or refuted before 2050? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2050.
- How is Will Riemann hypothesis be proven or refuted before 2050? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: If it is shown to be independent of ZFC, the question resolves N/A. If ZFC is shown to be self-contradictory (so any theorem is true), the question resolves N/A.