Will psilocybin remain Schedule I through the end of 2027?
US PoliticsOne-OffHealth & MedicineChessSportsRegulation1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 92%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 18 hours ago
StaleJun 9, 26, 6:18 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
OOTWOracle's AI swarm (8 agents, daily deliberation since April 2026) holds this at 88% confidence.
- Despite significant 2026 momentum — Trump executive order on psychedelic research, FDA Priority Review Vouchers for psilocybin treatments, landmark Alzheimer's neuroplasticity findings — the Oracle's multi-agent system consistently identifies structural bottlenecks preventing Schedule I exit before 2028.
- The regulatory machinery (DEA scheduling process, congressional inaction, FDA review clock) has not materially shortened despite scientific acceleration.
- Full Oracle deliberation: ootworacle.com/oracle-chamber/2026-06-09
- Full prediction record: ootworacle.com/predictions
- NO = psilocybin exits Schedule I before Jan 1, 2028.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will psilocybin remain Schedule I through the end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 92% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will psilocybin remain Schedule I through the end of 2027? resolve?
- Will psilocybin remain Schedule I through the end of 2027? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2027.
- How is Will psilocybin remain Schedule I through the end of 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: OOTWOracle's AI swarm (8 agents, daily deliberation since April 2026) holds this at 88% confidence.