Will Poland implement a new electoral system for the Sejm before 2030?
PoliticsOne-OffElectionRegulation3y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 75%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 23 hours ago
StaleJan 27, 23, 1:08 PM UTCDec 31, 29, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
This prediction market resolves positively if the Polish government passes a new electoral law for the Sejm that changes the current system in a significant and meaningful way, as determined by experts and political analysts, and the law is signed and implemented before January 1st, 2030.
- This includes, but is not limited to, introducing a new voting method or changing the way seats are allocated.
- Changes that do not alter the fundamental nature of the current system, such as increasing the number of polling stations in rural areas, do not count towards resolution.
- If no such law is passed and implemented, the prediction market will resolve negatively.
