Will Palestine become a full United Nations member state before 2030?
One-OffMiddle EastRussia / UkraineChina3yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 86.5%
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34
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Updated 20 minutes ago
Nov 17, 23, 7:38 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 7:59 AM UTC
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The UN General Assembly voted to give the State of Palestine non-member observer status in 2012, and conferred further powers in 2018.
- To become a full member the UN, a candidate country must be recommended for admission by the UN Security Council with nine votes out of sixteen (and no use of veto power by China, Russia, the United States, the United Kingdom, or France), and approved by a two-thirds supermajority in the UN General Assembly.
- Palestine is diplomatically recognized by 139 out of 193 UN member states, including China and Russia, but is not recognized by the United States, France, and the United Kingdom (all which have veto power on the UN Security Council).
- This question resolves YES if a government representing Palestine becomes a full UN member state before 2030.
