Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 4:27 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 55.6%
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30
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binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Aug 5, 25, 5:42 PM UTCDec 30, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
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KalshiRules
OpenAI just released 2 new open source LLMs and according to twitter they are close to SOTA (for models their size).
- I wonder if OpenAI will release more open models in the next years or if this would be a one time thing.
