Will Anthropic release an open-weights model in 2026?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Anthropic release an open-weights model in 2026??

Manifold Markets prices No at 93.9% as of October 30, 2026.

When does Will Anthropic release an open-weights model in 2026? resolve?

Will Anthropic release an open-weights model in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

How is Will Anthropic release an open-weights model in 2026? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if Anthropic posts an open-source or open-weights model in 2026.

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POLYMARKET

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by which date?

• 2029+2.0pt24%
• 202817%
• 20279%

Total Vol

$2.8M

24h Vol

$177.7K

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Gemini+8.5pt55.2%
• Claude-9.4pt34.8%
• ChatGPT-0.1pt

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+0.2pt99%
• Anthropic+0.3pt1%
• Alibaba0%

+18 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by which date?

• 2029+2.0pt22%
• 2028+2.5pt19%
• 2027+2.0pt10%

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+1.0pt29.1%
• $1.5–$1.75T+6.1pt23.3%
• $2.0–$2.25T-0.6pt20.4%

+7 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Google+7.0pt60.2%
• Anthropic-8.0pt31.6%
• OpenAI+0.3pt6.1%

+12 more outcomes

• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
• Anthropic IPO by which date?
• Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
• OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
• Google market share this week
• When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
• When will Gemini Carbon be released?
• Gemini Carbon: HLE-Diamond Debut?