KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 52.6% · —
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Stored price
Above 68.5% 83%Market line of 9 lines
Above 68.5% 83%Market quality
67 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$8.2K
Open interest
$10.6K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above 52.6%Spread
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Market data
Updated 29 minutes ago
Oct 28, 26, 4:00 PM UTCNov 2, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 52.6%
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 30, 2026
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Manifold MarketsWill Alibaba publish open weights for a Qwen 4 model on Hugging Face by November 25, 2026?
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Manifold MarketsRules
If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Nov 1, 2026 is above 68.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Vercel AI Gateway Leaderboards
- This event resolves using the Open Weights percentage in Vercel AI Gateway's Open vs. Closed Token Volume chart. At 10:00 AM ET on Nov 2, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Nov 1, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 52.6%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Nov 1, 2026 is above 52.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 56.4%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Nov 1, 2026 is above 56.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 55.8%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Nov 1, 2026 is above 55.8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 60.5%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Nov 1, 2026 is above 60.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 63.7%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Nov 1, 2026 is above 63.7%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 66.9%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Nov 1, 2026 is above 66.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 70.2%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Nov 1, 2026 is above 70.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 68.5%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Nov 1, 2026 is above 68.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 72.9%
- If the Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) for Nov 1, 2026 is above 72.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
