Will OpenAI or Anthropic have a higher initial share price upon each of their IPOs?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will OpenAI or Anthropic have a higher initial share price upon each of their IPOs??

Manifold Markets prices Anthropic at 65% as of October 19, 2026.

When does Will OpenAI or Anthropic have a higher initial share price upon each of their IPOs? resolve?

Will OpenAI or Anthropic have a higher initial share price upon each of their IPOs? is scheduled to resolve on March 6, 2029.

How is Will OpenAI or Anthropic have a higher initial share price upon each of their IPOs? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: resolves once both IPO

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POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in October?

• No change-2.0pt86%
• 25 bps increase+2.0pt14%
• 25 bps decrease0%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$49.9M

24h Vol

$3M

KALSHI

NYC median asking rent in December 2026

• Above $3,800+1.0pt96.5%
• Above $3,90087.5%
• Above $4,000-25.0pt47.5%

KALSHI

CPI YoY in November

• Above 3.3%+3.0pt97.5%
• Above 3.2%+1.0pt98.5%
• Above 3.0%+1.0pt98.5%

KALSHI

Core CPI YoY in November

• Above 2.0%98.5%
• Above 2.2%98.5%
• Above 2.1%98.5%

POLYMARKET

Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026

• 2.0-2.4%+64.8pt69.4%
• ≤1.9%-67.1pt29.6%
• 2.5-2.9%-0.3pt1%

+3 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

• Yes+2.5pt81%
• No-2.5pt19%

Total Vol

$877K

24h Vol

$12.8K

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