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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?
OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

13.5% (24h)AITechOne-Off6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
OpenAI + Anthropic
OpenAI + Anthropic 36%+0.1%
Market quality

44 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$19

Liquidity

$10.5K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

34.0% / 37.0%

Spread

8.8%

Wide spread
7d Change

+21.5%

Market data

Updated 9 minutes ago

May 19, 26, 8:32 PMJan 1, 27, 12:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

OpenAI + Anthropic36%

Rules

This market will resolve to "OpenAI + Anthropic" if the combined private market valuation of Anthropic and OpenAI is larger than Google's market capitalization on December 31, 2026, or to "Google" if Google's market capitalization exceeds that combined valuation.

Polymarket
  • NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
  • If NPM has not published relevant data for the specified date by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027.
  • If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
  • If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the specified date, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
  • If a private company completes an IPO or direct listing prior to the specified date, this market will resolve according to the company’s public market capitalization at the market close of the specified date or the most recent trading day.

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,816.38+2.07%EthereumETH$1,657.02+1.41%SolanaSOL$65.22+2.11%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+1.67%BNBBNB$601.68+2.66%XRPXRP$1.12+0.67%

Related News

Anthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto NewsEU orders Meta to restore WhatsApp access for rival AI chatbotsCrypto NewsJPMorgan plans longer-running AI agents for corporate workflows Crypto NewsOpenAI Files for IPO, Targets Valuation Up to $850BBlockchain.NewsOpenAI confidentially files to go public in the USCointelegraphNvidia expands South Korean AI partnerships across chips, cloud, and robotics Crypto News

Rules

This market will resolve to "OpenAI + Anthropic" if the combined private market valuation of Anthropic and OpenAI is larger than Google's market capitalization on December 31, 2026, or to "Google" if Google's market capitalization exceeds that combined valuation.

Polymarket
  • NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
  • If NPM has not published relevant data for the specified date by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027.
  • If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
  • If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the specified date, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
  • If a private company completes an IPO or direct listing prior to the specified date, this market will resolve according to the company’s public market capitalization at the market close of the specified date or the most recent trading day.