Will OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google acquire or take a controlling stake in a broker-dealer by the end of 2027?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google acquire or take a controlling stake in a broker-dealer by the end of 2027??

Manifold Markets prices No at 80.1% as of November 1, 2026.

When does Will OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google acquire or take a controlling stake in a broker-dealer by the end of 2027? resolve?

Will OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google acquire or take a controlling stake in a broker-dealer by the end of 2027? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2027.

How is Will OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google acquire or take a controlling stake in a broker-dealer by the end of 2027? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution Criteria

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KALSHI

Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?

• No91.5%
• Yes-32.0pt8.5%

Total Vol

$35.8K

24h Vol

$13.8K

POLYMARKET

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

• No97%
• Yes3%

Total Vol

$24.8M

24h Vol

$7.6K

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 202791.5%
• Before Mar 1, 202791.5%
• Before Feb 1, 202791.5%

KALSHI

Will the Clarity Act become law?

• Before Jan 1, 2028+2.0pt28.5%
• Before Oct 1, 2027-4.0pt20.5%
• Before Jul 1, 2027

POLYMARKET

Discord IPO Closing Market Cap

• No IPO by December 31, 2027+4.5pt68.8%
• 11–14B-0.3pt6.3%
• 14–17B+1.9pt5.2%

+5 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

• Thom Tillis+1.5pt13%
• Andy Kim+0.3pt9%
• Alex Padilla+0.3pt8%

+12 more outcomes

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