Will Salesforce announce a sale to a major AI/tech company within 365 days of the first OpenAI or Anthropic listing?
ExchangeAITechOne-OffCorporate ActionsSpaceEquitiesRegulation2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastFirst public listing occurs, but no qualifying acquisition announced in the window 92%Leader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
2
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleOct 4, 26, 12:42 AM UTCJan 1, 29, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketExtended listed on ___ within 30 days of TGE?
PolymarketRules
This market forecasts whether Salesforce, Inc. announces a definitive agreement to be acquired by one of the named companies within the window after the first of OpenAI or Anthropic becomes publicly traded.
- Public-listing trigger: D is the date on which common equity in either OpenAI's or Anthropic's principal operating-company parent first begins regular public trading on NYSE or Nasdaq, through an IPO, direct listing, or completed SPAC combination.
- Use the first of the two listings.
- A renaming or corporate reorganization that preserves substantially the same core business counts.
- Filing for an IPO, announcing an IPO, private secondary trading, debt listings, or listing an unrelated investment vehicle does not count.
- The trigger must occur no later than 11:59:59pm America/New_York on December 31, 2028.
