Will OpenAI or Anthropic have a lower valuation before EOY 2030 compared to EOY 2023?
One-OffAIBusiness & Corporate4yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 85%
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30
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Oct 5, 23, 9:51 PM UTCDec 26, 30, 4:59 AM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
I saw this tweet by Pedro Domingos and thought to myself, "one of those things is an implicit prediction."
- [image]Update 2025-04-03 (PST) Baseline Valuations for 2023:
- Anthropic: An accepted valuation of $18.4 billion from its December 2023 fundraising round.
- OpenAI: An accepted valuation of $80 billion from its secondary sale initiated in October 2023 (accepted in February 2024).
- These values will be used as the 2023 benchmarks for resolving the market.
