Will Anthropic have a higher valuation than OpenAI on April 18, 2029?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Anthropic have a higher valuation than OpenAI on April 18, 2029??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 53% as of October 25, 2026.

When does Will Anthropic have a higher valuation than OpenAI on April 18, 2029? resolve?

Will Anthropic have a higher valuation than OpenAI on April 18, 2029? is scheduled to resolve on April 18, 2029.

How is Will Anthropic have a higher valuation than OpenAI on April 18, 2029? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: 3 years after this market's creation date.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+4.6pt52.8%
• Gemini-2.9pt35.7%
• ChatGPT-1.1pt7.6%

+5 more outcomes

Total Vol

$15.4M

24h Vol

$77K

POLYMARKET

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by which date?

• 2029+1.0pt20%
• 2028+1.0pt16%
• 2027+1.0pt8%

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+2.0pt92.5%
• Before Mar 1, 202791.5%
• Before Feb 1, 202788.5%

KALSHI

OpenRouter AI token usage in October

• Above 675T tokens+16.0pt85.5%
• Above 600T tokens50%
• Above 650T tokens+33.0pt99.5%

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+2.0pt30.4%
• $1.5–$1.75T+0.6pt18.6%
• $2.0–$2.25T-2.0pt17.6%

+7 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?

• 2027-4.0pt56%
• 2026-1.5pt14%

+1 more outcomes

Total Vol

$1M

24h Vol

$46.5K

• Which company has the best AI model end of October?
• Top coding AI this month (Arena.ai)
• What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
• Anthropic IPO by which date?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• OpenRouter token usage in Oct 19–25
• Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
• Best AI this week